Is the probability of wind power generation high

What are probabilistic forecasts of wind power generation?

Probabilistic forecasts are the most used representation of the uncertainty in WPF, which is introduced in this section. The two other forms, i.e. risk index and spatial–temporal scenario, would be reviewed in 6 Risk index forecasting of wind power generation, 7 Wind power space-time scenario forecasting.

Does wind speed affect wind energy potential?

Compared with the real wind power density of time series wind speed data, it also shown that when there exists a correlation between wind speed and its direction, the estimated results of wind energy potential is more close to the real situation when considering the influence of wind direction.

Can wind power generation forecasts be forecasted at seasonal timescales?

While forecasts of wind power generation at lead times from minutes and hours to a few days ahead have been produced with very advanced methodologies (e.g. dynamical downscaling, machine learning or statistical downscaling [ 17 ]), a number of difficulties make the provision of generation forecasts at seasonal timescales challenging.

What factors affect wind power generation?

Actual wind power curve for Beidaqiao II wind farm in Gansu province, China from January to June in 2013. Wind speed and wind-to-power curve are the two factors of most relevance to wind power generation. Both of them exhibit high degree of variability, and become two main sources of uncertainty in wind power forecasts.

Why is wind energy potential not significant?

A possible explanation is that the N and S directions, which correspond 0.06° and 174.21°, fall in the edge of the section of main wind directions ranging from the N direction clockwise to S direction, so the wind energy potential of these two directions is not significant than other parts of the section.

Is the proposed method effective for estimating wind energy potential?

The results show that the proposed method is effective and the area under study is not suitable for wide wind turbine applications, and the estimated wind energy potential would be inaccuracy without considering the influence of wind direction.